The Cinescape's Predictions

The Cinescape is a longtime patron of Film Independent, film critic and an awards voter who loves to dive into the historical data of the Oscars. Basing predictions off a combination of precedent and an inside track into the hearts and minds of Academy voters, he prides himself on his ability to remove emotion from the equation in the pursuit of the perfect prediction slate. 

Find him at TheCinescape.com

The Cinescape's Predictions

Oscar nominations Predictions 2026 • 105 total predictions

Best Picture

  • 1
    One Battle After Another
  • 2
    Sinners
  • 3
    Hamnet
  • 4
    Marty Supreme
  • 5
    Frankenstein
  • 6
    Sentimental Value
  • 7
    Bugonia
  • 8
    F1
  • 9
    The Secret Agent
  • 10
    Train Dreams

Best Director

  • 1
    Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
  • 2
    Ryan Coogler, Sinners
  • 3
    Chloe Zhao, Hamnet
  • 4
    Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme
  • 5
    Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value

Best Actor

  • 1
    Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another
  • 2
    Timothee Chalamet, Marty Supreme
  • 3
    Michael B. Jordan, Sinners
  • 4
    Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent
  • 5
    Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon

Best Actress

  • 1
    Jessie Buckley, Hamnet
  • 2
    Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
  • 3
    Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value
  • 4
    Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another
  • 5
    Emma Stone, Bugonia

Best Supporting Actor

  • 1
    Stellan Skarsgard, Sentimental Value
  • 2
    Sean Penn, One Battle After Another
  • 3
    Benicio Del Toro, One Battle After Another
  • 4
    Paul Mescal, Hamnet
  • 5
    Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein

Best Supporting Actress

  • 1
    Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another
  • 2
    Amy Madigan, Weapons
  • 3
    Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners
  • 4
    Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value
  • 5
    Odessa Azion, Marty Supreme

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • 1
    One Battle After Another
  • 2
    Hamnet
  • 3
    Train Dreams
  • 4
    Frankenstein
  • 5
    Bugonia

Best Original Screenplay

  • 1
    Sinners
  • 2
    Sentimental Value
  • 3
    Marty Supreme
  • 4
    The Secret Agent
  • 5
    Sorry Baby

Best Casting

  • 1
    One Battle after Another
  • 2
    Sinners
  • 3
    Marty Supreme
  • 4
    Hamnet
  • 5
    Sentimental Value

Best Cinematography

  • 1
    Sinners
  • 2
    One Battle after Another
  • 3
    Frankenstein
  • 4
    Marty Supreme
  • 5
    Train Dreams

Best Documentary

  • 1
    The Perfect Neighbor
  • 2
    The Alabama Solution
  • 3
    2000 Meters to Andriivka
  • 4
    Cover-Up
  • 5
    My Undesirable Friends: Part 1 - Last Air in Moscow

Best International Feature

  • 1
    Norway, Sentimental Value
  • 2
    Brazil, The Secret Agent
  • 3
    France, It Was Just an Accident
  • 4
    Tunisia, The Voice of Hind Rajab
  • 5
    South Korea, No Other Choice

Best Editing

  • 1
    One Battle After Another
  • 2
    Sinners
  • 3
    Marty Supreme
  • 4
    F1
  • 5
    Hamnet

Best Costume Design

  • 1
    Frankenstein
  • 2
    Hamnet
  • 3
    Sinners
  • 4
    Wicked: For Good
  • 5
    Marty Supreme

Best Production Design

  • 1
    Frankenstein
  • 2
    Hamnet
  • 3
    Sinners
  • 4
    Marty Supreme
  • 5
    Wicked: For Good

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

  • 1
    Frankenstein
  • 2
    Sinners
  • 3
    Wicked: For Good
  • 4
    One Battle after Another
  • 5
    Nuremberg

Best Original Score

  • 1
    One Battle after Another
  • 2
    Sinners
  • 3
    Marty Supreme
  • 4
    Frankenstein
  • 5
    Hamnet

Best Original Song

  • 1
    Golden from KPop Demon Hunters
  • 2
    The Girl In The Bubble from Wicked: For Good
  • 3
    No Place Like Home from Wicked: For Good
  • 4
    Train Dreams from Train Dreams
  • 5
    I Lied To You from Sinners

Best Sound

  • 1
    F1
  • 2
    Avatar: Fire and Ash
  • 3
    Sinners
  • 4
    Wicked: For Good
  • 5
    One Battle after Another

Visual Effects

  • 1
    Avatar: Fire and Ash
  • 2
    Wicked: For Good
  • 3
    Superman
  • 4
    Frankenstein
  • 5
    F1